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April 01, 2010



Hi Chuck. great post. Have you ever seen "Who Killed the Electric Car"?
A synopsis:
In 1990, the state of California passed the Zero Emissions Vehicle Mandate which instructed the automakers that if they cannot sell an automobile in California if it has a tailpipe.
GM responded in 1996 with the EV1. It was an electric car that could travel between 70 to 100 miles on a single charge. It was available as a lease only and GM put about 700 on the streets.
Problem: The oil companies woke up, wiped the drool off their chins and said “Hey! That thing doesn’t use my product!” They called George senior and complained.

The parts manufacturers complained because an electric motor uses and fraction on the parts that a combustion engine uses.

The Auto Dealers complained because an electric engine requires a simple greasing and tire rotation every few months. No Oils, no filters and really doesn’t break.

This paradigm shift in the auto industry and its impact to its tributary industries was caused such a disruption in the BAU cash flow that California rescinded its ZEV mandate and GM withdrew the product citing poor acceptance. The funny part about that is when EV1 owners pleaded to keep their cars and buy out the leases, GM declined, took the cars back and crushed them all.

Whether or not Quantum Computing and Storage becomes available to the consumer will have little to do with the benefits to the Joe on the street. It will be decided by “How much money gets diverted from whom”.
1. No requirement for bandwidth? Bye bye Brocade and Cisco et al.
2. It’s a blob of atoms. MTBF 6.02X10E23 years. There goes about 50% of the computer industry’s revenue.
3. No parts (depending on how we read and write to the thing).
4. All the information on the planet contained on a grain of sand accessible from anywhere? Tells me you need one. OK, two for DR. So unless accessing the data requires a Hadron collider, there may not be a lot of money in this.

Quantum computing is a game changer and when the game changes, winners can become losers very quick.

I know I’m being simplistic but you do see my point, I hope. Then again, I could be wrong.

"Everything that can be invented has been invented."
Charles H. Duell, Commissioner, U.S. patent office, 1899

"Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons."
Thomas Watson, the chairman of IBM in 1943

"Who the heck needs a 10GB hard drive in their home?"
Me - 1989


Too good... All the Quantum physics "research" engineers should read this!! But perhaps, just perhaps, something similar might become true as well... :)


PS: The link on the April Fools day page - wikipedia was too funny...

Stuart Savill

very good - this made me chuckle! 8-)

Haiyun Bao

"Five particles can record 10 bits, six can record 14 and so on."

Six can record 15, right?

The comments to this entry are closed.

Chuck Hollis

  • Chuck Hollis
    SVP, Oracle Converged Infrastructure Systems

    Chuck now works for Oracle, and is now deeply embroiled in IT infrastructure.

    Previously, he was with VMware for 2 years, and EMC for 18 years before that, most of them great.

    He enjoys speaking to customer and industry audiences about a variety of technology topics, and -- of course -- enjoys blogging.

    Chuck lives in Vero Beach, FL with his wife and four dogs when he's not traveling. In his spare time, Chuck is working on his second career as an aging rock musician.

    Warning: do not ever buy him a drink when there is a piano nearby.

    Note: these are my personal views, and aren't reviewed or approved by my employer.
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