Analogies can be powerful tools. The good ones are descriptive: sort of an intellectual shortcut to a set of concepts and ideas. They save time.
But I think the very best analogies can become predictive models: you can examine them at length and come up with all sorts of useful, forward-looking insights that can make you look eerily prescient.
If you want to impress people with your crystal ball skills, have a good predictive model or two in your back pocket :)
Such is the case with IT's current transformation to becoming a competitive internal service provider.
In his landmark book "The Big Switch", Nicholas Carr uses the early days of the power generation and distribution industry as a powerful analogy for understanding what was beginning to happen with cloud computing.
In many aspects, his analogy was a decent predictive model: you could examine how the power industry began, evolved and matured -- and make some interesting predictions about how similar things might happen in the cloud and IT world.
Even if you don't believe in cloud, Nick Carr (or anything else for that matter!) his recounting of the evolution of the power industry is fascinating and insightful.
However, it's been three long years since Nick published his book -- a veritable eternity in our industry -- and I think I can now suggest a better analogy that's proving to be far more powerful in its predictive power.
A modern, competitive factory. Raw materials in; valuable products out.
Indeed, as I spend more and more time with customers talking about their current transformations, I find myself using factory-based analogies more often to describe concepts and principles. It works.
And, since so many IT leaders I work with have to explain many things to the people in their world, I thought I'd take the time to expand the analogy.
Hopefully it will work for them as well as it's worked for me.

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